Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.028371 0.030585 0.032805 0.035191 0.037683 0.040204 0.042944
2025-10-05 0.024827 0.028369 0.032042 0.036118 0.040500 0.045056 0.050136
2025-10-12 0.022201 0.026479 0.031025 0.036181 0.041837 0.047822 0.054607
2025-10-19 0.020106 0.024904 0.030112 0.036129 0.042839 0.050044 0.058317
2025-10-26 0.018920 0.024201 0.030037 0.036884 0.044621 0.053024 0.062771
2025-11-02 0.017564 0.023189 0.029514 0.037042 0.045657 0.055112 0.066182
2025-11-09 0.016278 0.022166 0.028897 0.037021 0.046425 0.056847 0.069152
2025-11-16 0.015125 0.021224 0.028310 0.036974 0.047111 0.058448 0.071934
2025-11-23 0.014006 0.020256 0.027635 0.036771 0.047574 0.059757 0.074356
2025-11-30 0.013054 0.019440 0.027095 0.036687 0.048139 0.061155 0.076853
2025-12-07 0.011949 0.018370 0.026199 0.036131 0.048110 0.061835 0.078502
2025-12-14 0.010896 0.017314 0.025270 0.035494 0.047948 0.062331 0.079910
2025-12-21 0.009693 0.016037 0.024065 0.034538 0.047444 0.062485 0.081007
2025-12-28 0.009363 0.015920 0.024332 0.035414 0.049175 0.065306 0.085264
2026-01-04 0.008723 0.015341 0.023973 0.035479 0.049896 0.066912 0.088081
2026-01-11 0.008089 0.014730 0.023542 0.035428 0.050453 0.068307 0.090638
2026-01-18 0.007812 0.014608 0.023743 0.036173 0.051990 0.070876 0.094591
2026-01-25 0.007336 0.014170 0.023500 0.036330 0.052781 0.072538 0.097457
2026-02-01 0.006831 0.013660 0.023135 0.036309 0.053334 0.073900 0.099959
2026-02-08 0.006353 0.013161 0.022765 0.036262 0.053841 0.075196 0.102376
2026-02-15 0.005858 0.012607 0.022294 0.036062 0.054138 0.076224 0.104460
2026-02-22 0.005435 0.012137 0.021923 0.035979 0.054571 0.077411 0.106732
2026-03-01 0.004902 0.011457 0.021223 0.035429 0.054385 0.077817 0.108042